Reporters are speculating that the Ilya Samsonov contract will be settled out of court, with a low multi-year deal in the low-3's, which would be an amazing deal for the Leafs. No term risk and little money risk. The midpoint between their arbitration filing numbers is $3.65 million.
Arbitration filings in for Ilya Samsonov (TOR). Team: $2.4M; player $4.9M.
— Elliotte Friedman (@FriedgeHNIC) July 19, 2023
With the roster as described below, the Leafs are $1.6 million over the cap. In the cases where the Leafs are able to get rid of Murray for free (no money left on the books) then they would have $3 million to sign Samsonov and happily close the book on the summer.
Bertuzzi-Matthews-Nylander
Knies-Tavares-Marner
Domi💩-Kämpf-Järnkrok
Holmberg-Lafferty-Reaves
Rielly-Brodie
McCabe-Klingberg
Giordano-Liljegren
Timmins
Murray
Woll
$3 million is probably not enough, but they can squeeze out $300k from each of Lafferty and Timmins by replacing them with cheaper options (both can be buried fully in the minors if necessary). That can bring the number of to about $3.6 million, right around the midpoint of the arbitration filing numbers.
If Murray gets bought out (big if) then they have to find another $600k. That could force them to lose Liljegren, McCabe, or Järnkrok. I don't think these are likely, but we will see.
In Pridham We Trust.
Who are you, New Giraffe Son, err I mean Noah Chadwick? Brigstew answers ahead of the T25U25.
My one contribution to the FTB comments yesterday was a joke about this. I don't believe he ever got the ear of the veterans in the room and thus never succeeded on the Marlies. Is he a good coach? Sorry, I couldn't tell you, I wasn't listening.
Former Marlies coach Greg Moore has been named head coach of the US National Team Development Program.
— Lance Hornby 🇺🇦 (@sunhornby) July 19, 2023
Who do the Leafs have on defense, and what changes are needed before the season starts as well as before the playoffs.

Quick aside, I do hate when people compare the Leafs post-deadline with the Leafs at the summer. Of course the team takes a step back after the rentals left. Every team takes a step back (or forward if you're bad) between those two times. Compare the Leafs to who they were 12 months ago, not after the in-season additions. ie. This one.
Leafs lines from practice Oct. 10/22
— David Alter (@dalter) October 10, 2022
Bunting-Matthews-Marner
Nylander-Tavares-Malgin
Engvall-Kerfoot-Jarnkrok
AstonReese-Kampf-AubeKubel
Extra:Robertson, Holmberg
Rielly-Brodie
Muzzin-Holl
Giordano-Sandin
Kral-Villeneuve
Murray
Samsonov
Various Leafs and Branches





Nate Thompson retires after 15-year NHL career.
— TSN (@TSN_Sports) July 20, 2023
MORE: https://t.co/fKPy9m6U4i pic.twitter.com/efykGFISRU
Brett Howden signs a two year deal with Vegas worth $1.9 million AAV. pic.twitter.com/nPaPgC5bY2
— TSN (@TSN_Sports) July 19, 2023
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