Before we leave the T25U25 behind us until after the draft, it’s time to look at how we all voted.
The Consolidated Voters Lists
Official Voters List
| Player | 2020 Rank | katya | seldo | species | arvind | fulemin | hardev | brigstew | taaeeve | omar | annie | kevin | rahef |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitch Marner | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| William Nylander | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Rasmus Sandin | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Nicholas Robertson | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| Timothy Liljegren | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| Travis Dermott | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| Pierre Engvall | 9 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 2020 2nd-round pick | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| Adam Brooks | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| Mikko Kokkonen | 11 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 10 |
| Nicholas Abruzzese | 13 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 |
| Mikhail Abramov | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 9 | 15 |
| Semyon Der-Arguchintsev | 15 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| Denis Malgin | 16 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 13 | |
| Egor Korshkov | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 23 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 21 | 14 |
| Pontus Holmberg | 18 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 19 | |
| Joseph Duszak | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 22 | |
| Filip Kral | 20 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 18 | 17 |
| Jeremy Bracco | 21 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 16 | ||||
| Mac Hollowell | 22 | 18 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | |||
| 2020 Toronto 4th-round pick | 23 | 23 | 25 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 24 | 23 | |||||
| Jesper Lindgren | 24 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | |||||
| 2020 Vegas 4th-round pick | 25 | 24 | 18 | 18 | 25 | 25 | |||||||
| 2020 Vegas 5th-round pick | . | 19 | |||||||||||
| Eemeli Rasanen | . | ||||||||||||
| Ian Scott | . | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 20 | ||||||
| JD Greenway | . | ||||||||||||
| Joseph Woll | . | 22 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 21 | ||||
| Kalle Loponen | . | 23 | 23 | ||||||||||
| Kristian Rubins | . | 25 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | |||||||
| Max Veronneau | . | 25 | |||||||||||
| Michael Koster | . | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | ||||||||
| Nikolai Chebykin | . | ||||||||||||
| Ryan O’Connell | . | ||||||||||||
| Semyon Kizimov | . | ||||||||||||
| Vladimir Bobylev | . | ||||||||||||
| Vladislav Kara | . |
Visualizing the Voting
A lot of you enjoyed the graphical representation of the community vote for each player, and that’s all thanks to Alan who graciously made the histograms for us. Not only that, he just handed me the code he’d used, and I amazed myself a little by adapting it to the official vote. There’s only 12 voters, so the distributions are not as complex as in the community vote, but they’re fun to look at. From the top:
The Top Tier
The Middle Tier
The Bottom Tier
How Consistent Were the Votes?
This year’s weak list of prospects led the voters to an almost extreme level of consistency in the top 10, and a high level of consistency, unlike usual, in the bottom 20 or so of players that received a significant number of votes.
I did a similar analysis to last year where I looked at a how many votes each person differed from the final ranking on, how much in total they differed, and just the differences in the top 10 (click to see it bigger).
I was shocked to see myself suddenly become the least disagreeable voter this year. But if you focus on the top 10 variance — the sum of all the differences in rankings for those 10 places — there’s several people with very low differences. The number of places on the list our votes were off from the final ranking is very similar, with the range going from 17 to 26. This analysis includes all the players, not just the final 25. But some people really varied, while others only moved players around a little, so the total variance shows Species and I as the most consistent, although he had the highest number of differing votes, and I was nearly the lowest.
After the amazing disagreement from this year’s loose cannon, Hardev, we have Brigstew who is next, but don’t overlook Annie, who has an average-looking total variance, but the most in the top 10, followed closely by Hardev.
Fulemin and Arvind arrived at very similar lists, which will amaze no one.
Travis Dermott and Pierre Engvall had the most total variance in rankings of players in the top tier of finishers, but the 2nd-round pick (unsurprisingly) accounts for most of the top-10 variance on that chart. Other contentious rankings were most of the middle tier, but the other two picks also had wide ranging choices.
I had a very close to average opinion on the second round pick, slightly more out of whack opinions on the other two picks (I didn’t rank them) and was fairly average through the middle tier. That’s all it took to make me the most representative voter because the rest of the list just falls into place in those very defined tiers, and most of the disagreement was about order within the tiers.
Hardev definitely wins the Loose Cannon award this year, though. Congrats, Hardev.
