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Last year there were 36 players on the eligibility list, with six who had at least 10 NHL regular season games. All but one of those six is gone, and this year's list is younger, less experienced and lacking in high-end drafted prospects.

The two highest drafted players are Easton Cowan at 28th overall and Ben Danford at 31st – the only two taken in the first round.

Given the recent draft, I was expecting the list to be tilted a little to defence, but it isn't really. There are 11 defenders, or 30.6%, and if you consider a 23-man roster with seven defenders, that's 30.4%. But then consider that the only two players eligible for voting who are in the NHL are forwards while there aren't any defenders likely to make the leap any time soon. It's not at all a prospect pool set up to solve a current defensive problem. Which is good because that's a bad way to draft players.

There are slightly more goalies than a typical roster percentage: 11.1% instead of 8.7%. There's two choices with goalies and the draft: either pick a lot of them or none. Either assume you will be finding your goalies as free agents or in trade, or you will be trying to develop at least half a tandem by repeatedly spinning a roulette wheel. The days of picking an elite starter in the draft who will play most of the games and win you the Cup are long past.

There are ten players on this list drafted by the Leafs with picks better than spot 100 and seven of them are forwards. Those 10 players are where we'll find the prospect most likely to make an impact in the future. There might be someone special taken at later draft positions, or one of the three undrafted players, but the highest drafted prospects are where you look first for future value. Ben Danford really is it as far as defenders go unless you believe more than I do in Topi Niemelä.

2024 T25U25 Eligibility List

Player 2023 Rank Birth Date Age in Days Nationality POS NHL GP Draft Year Draft #
Alex Steeves 14 December 10, 1999 8,970 USA C 7 Undrafted
Semyon Kizimov NR January 19, 2000 8,930 Russia C/W 2018 211
Semyon Der-Arguchintsev 19 September 15, 2000 8,690 Russia C/W 1 2018 76
Cade Webber NA January 5, 2001 8,578 USA LD 2019 99
Mikko Kokkonen 25 January 18, 2001 8,565 Finland LD 2019 84
Michael Koster NR April 13, 2001 8,480 USA LD 2019 146
John Fusco NR June 12, 2001 8,420 USA LD 2020 189
Dennis Hildeby 23 August 19, 2001 8,352 Sweden G 0 2022 122
Nicholas Robertson 3 September 11, 2001 8,329 USA W 87 2019 53
Veeti Miettinen NR September 20, 2001 8,320 Finland RW 2020 168
Artur Akhtyamov 24 October 31, 2001 8,279 Russia G 2020 106
Roni Hirvonen 9 January 10, 2002 8,208 Finland C 2020 59
Ryan Tverberg 17 January 30, 2002 8,188 Canada C 2020 213
Jacob Quillan NA February 2, 2002 8,185 Canada C Undrafted
William Villeneuve 16 March 20, 2002 8,139 Canada RD 2020 122
Topi Niemelä 6 May 25, 2002 8,073 Finland RD 2020 64
Wyatt Schingoethe NR August 3, 2002 8,003 USA C 2020 195
Vyacheslav Peksa NR August 27, 2002 7,979 Russia G 2021 185
Joe Miller NR September 15, 2002 7,960 USA F 2020 180
Matthew Knies 1 October 17, 2002 7,928 USA LW 83 2021 57
Braeden Kressler NR January 5, 2003 7,848 Canada C Undrafted
Nikita Grebenkin 12 February 5, 2003 7,817 Russia RW 2022 135
Ty Voit 15 June 10, 2003 7,692 USA LW 2021 153
Hudson Malinoski 20 May 19, 2004 7,348 Canada C 2023 153
Nicholas Moldenhauer 13 May 25, 2004 7,342 Canada RW/C 2022 95
Fraser Minten 8 July 5, 2004 7,301 Canada C 4 2022 38
Timofei Obvintsev NA January 6, 2005 7,116 Russia G 2024 157
Noah Chadwick 18 May 10, 2005 6,992 Canada LD 2023 185
Easton Cowan 10 May 20, 2005 6,982 Canada C 2023 28
Sam McCue NA October 3, 2005 6,846 Canada LW 2024 216
Miroslav Holinka NA November 10, 2005 6,808 Czechia C/W 2024 151
Ben Danford NA February 6, 2006 6,720 Canada RD 2024 31
Victor Johansson NA April 25, 2006 6,642 Sweden LD 2024 120
Nathan Mayes NA June 10, 2006 6,596 Canada LD 2024 225
Matthew Lahey NA July 17, 2006 6,559 Canada LD 2024 200
Alexander Plesovskikh NA August 1, 2006 6,544 Russia LW 2024 152

There are 13 Canadians, nine Americans, seven Russians, four Finns, two Swedes and one Czech which makes this group not terribly different to the makeup of the NHL. It does make me wonder if the Leafs' scouts think Sweden is fished out for prospects, since there are only two Swedes and they are unusual choices.

There are 11, 10, 10 and five players born in the first, second, third and fourth quarters of the year respectively. The 10 taken in the third quarter would have been the youngest in the draft in their first year. Three were just selected this summer with 2006 birthdates, indicating a lean towards underdeveloped prospects.

Of the five born in the fourth quarter – where research shows players tend to be drafted lower down the order than their true value – only three were actually drafted and two of those were this summer. While these players were older on the day of the draft – Sam McCue is 10 months older than Alexander Plesovskikh – they have spent their entire careers pre-draft as the youngest players on their team, and that correlates with being underrated at the draft. It also correlates with a high level of confusion in draft watchers who think those players are bigger and older and should be devalued for that reason.

The Leafs have, for many years, tilted their drafting away from those born in the first quarter of the year. The classic drafted player of days gone by is a tall, physical player born early in January, who first encountered opposing players much smaller than himself the first day he laced up skates, and he's never had to take on someone his own size until he hits the AHL.

Sort the table by NHL Games Played, though, and you'll see that this year's T25 is all about unrealized gains and gambling on the future.

The community vote will be ready soon, so get ready to pick your list of 25 based on hopes and dreams.


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