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This week is number 17 through 13 on both rankings. Finishing off the bottom half and setting us up for the top [insert your own number here] where things get more serious. The Official Vote listed a clutch of AHLers who might be more than that, maybe, someday, if all goes well.
Official Vote
17 Jacob Quillan
Brian S
16 Ryan Tverberg
Hardev
15 Mikko Kokkonen
Cathy Squires
14 Cade Webber
Hardev
13 Alex Steeves
Adam Selvig
Community Vote
17 Nicholas Moldenhauer
Landing two spots higher up the ranking than on the Official Vote, Moldenhauer has a similar vote pattern to Ty Voit, who we saw last week. They each have only 15 N/A rankings and very few votes lower than 25. They were both, in other words, ranked somewhere by a big majority of voters.
Moldenhauer has a slightly larger spread of serious vote locations than Voit, and Voit has some large numbers of votes in the 22-23 range. So there is more variance in Moldenhauer's votes, but not by a large amount. Moldenhauer's weighted average ranking is 18.64, and Voit's is 18.97, showing that these two ranking points difference can mislead you if you let it. These votes land nearly as equals along with number 18 in between them.
16 William Villenueve
Villenueve comes in at 16 with a slightly larger increase in his weighted average to 17.87. He also marks the first person ranked with the tail of the histogram trailing to the right showing that how high was a high enough ranking for him was a widely shared opinion.
Eleven is the new low on N/A votes, and while almost everyone ranked Villeneuve, who came 21st on the Official Vote, they almost universally ranked him in the lower half of the list with most votes tight to the eventual ranking point.
This is a dramatic difference to the Official Vote in more than just the ranking position. Many official voters didn't rank him, he got one vote of 10 but the majority had him close to 21.
15 Mikko Kokkonen
Kokkonen is so rank 15 it isn't even funny. He landed there on both lists, his weighted average of 14.99 marks a big jump from the lower portion of the Community Vote, and his vote pattern shows the first strong consensus vote.
Consensus often gets mixed up with the idea of an average, but the two things are very different. Consensus, to express it less colloquially, is a low variance vote. Most people agree about him, which shows here as the very small spread of votes and the height of the bars – note the y-axis is 20 for the first time since the least consensus vote for Semyon Der-Arguchintsev.
If there's a disagreement about Kokkonen, it's really about what it means to be ranked 15 and what that says about his likely future.
14 Ryan Tverberg
Ryan Tverberg arrives at rank 14 with a weighted average little different to Kokkonen at 14.67. His vote pattern is a much wider distribution with a very tall centre (y-axis of 20 again).
In the Official Vote, he was just below Kokkonen with about the same small spread in weighted average and a decently strong consensus to the vote.
13 Noah Chadwick
Chadwick arrives with two firsts: N/A votes below 10, and a very heavy leftward skew from the average. Not yet ranked on the official vote, he's 13th with a weighted average of 13.89. This vote pattern show a split decision.
The heavy voting around 18th and around 9th shows the two opinions on him. Something (spoiler) we're going to see on the official vote next week (obvious spoiler).
So, have you noticed who was ranked on the Community Vote last week and still hasn't shown up yet on the Official Vote?
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